Tally
February 6, 2026

Senate Prediction Map Week 1

By Tally

Democrats --
-- Republicans
Blank map of the United States, territories not included Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming District of Columbia District of Columbia
Republican
Tossup
Democrat

Kalshi Senate 2026 — Sep 26, 2026 22:35 UTC

Alaska
71%
30%
Alabama
4%
96%
Arkansas
7%
93%
Colorado
99%
2%
Delaware
99%
1%
Florida
10%
90%
Georgia
95%
6%
Iowa
44%
57%
Idaho
0%
100%
Illinois
98%
2%
Kansas
31%
69%
Kentucky
5%
95%
Louisiana
13%
87%
Massachusetts
99%
1%
Maine
63%
38%
Michigan
72%
28%
Minnesota
89%
11%
Mississippi
10%
90%
Montana
2%
98%
North Carolina
94%
6%
Nebraska
30%
70%
New Hampshire
86%
15%
New Jersey
98%
2%
New Mexico
97%
3%
Ohio
46%
54%
Oklahoma
2%
98%
Oregon
98%
2%
Rhode Island
99%
1%
South Carolina
13%
87%
South Dakota
0%
100%
Tennessee
2%
98%
Texas
61%
39%
Virginia
98%
2%
West Virginia
2%
98%
Wyoming
2%
98%